Last year, was the first time I went H.A.M and did predictions for all categories. Probably because my coworker had asked me to be part of the pool. I was very ready last year and by now, had even seen all the short films. This year, I have not seen as many movies as I would have liked to so I’ll go back to my old format of doing my picks and who I would give it to if I could, for the major categories.
Best Picture
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice
This is a tough call and I don’t think I can highlight one. Let it be clear that I think Roma is going to win but if I had to pick I wonder who I would vote for. I think Black Panther for so many reasons beyond it being just a movie. Enjoyability factor, I really enjoyed Green Book and A Star Is Born. The Favourite was a delight and Bohemian Rhapsody was pure fun. Gun to head though, I think I’d probably pick A Star is Born.
Lead Actor
Christian Bale – Vice
Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
Make no mistake that this is a tough category because every single person on here is deserving and knocked it out the park. I particularly enjoyed Viggo in Green Book but Rami Malek really was amazing as Freddie Mercury. He is my pick and I also think he will win.
Lead Actress
Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
Glenn Close – The Wife
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
She is just who I enjoyed overall, granted as much as her campaigning has been about how her character is so far from her real life, I don’t believe that. It’s easy to say she was playing herself but she is not a natural actress. On that note, I know there is no way the Academy will let her have an Oscar before Glenn Close, so this is Glenn Close’s to lose.
Supporting Actress
Amy Adams – Vice
Marina de Tavira – Roma
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
My pick and will win. Regina King about to be an Oscar winner, y’all
Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell – Vice
He really did a good job in this movie and I am in awe that they are really about to give the same black man. a second Oscar in the span of 3 years. A little niggly part of me is wondering if Sam Elliott will pull an upset. He is old and beloved (and white)
Director:
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
Pawel Pawlikowski – Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
Adam McKay – Vice
My pick is Barry Jenkins and the fact that he is not nominated is a travesty. Based on the amazing visuals then Cuaron is my pick.
Well that’s it folks, those are my picks! If you enjoy the red carpet, follow me on twitter before the show for red carpet commentary – @taynementdotcom